28APR/105

Yet another lead author falsely cited; tourism mistake in the AR4

Barry Smit

You might recall an earlier false claim in the AR4 about tourism, about Canada and wildfires. There is another mistake in the AR4 regarding tourism, this time it is in WGII, Chapter 9.4.7 Tourism. The following claim appears:

Although scientific evidence is still lacking, it is probable that flood risks and water-pollution-related diseases in low-lying regions (coastal areas), as well as coral reef bleaching as a result of climate change, could impact negatively on tourism (McLeman and Smit, 2004).

First of all, this claim is so uncertain it probably shouldn’t even be in the report. Let’s read it again with all the uncertain words in bold:

Although scientific evidence is still lacking, it is probable that flood risks and water-pollution-related diseases in low-lying regions (coastal areas), as well as coral reef bleaching as a result of climate change,could impact negatively on tourism (McLeman and Smit, 2004).

In any event, they support this claim with McLeman and Smit, 2004. This is referenced as:

McLeman, R. and B. Smit, 2004: Climate change, migration and security. Canadian Security Intelligence Service, Commentary No. 86. http://www.csis-scrs.gc.ca/en/publications/commentary/com86.asp.

That link is no good. The article is available here. So, for this claim to be true, the article must make at least one of the following claims:

Lees hele artikel -> climatequotes.com

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