Over de huidige zomer:

ATLANTIC ‘TRIPOLE’ OF OCEAN TEMPERATURES DRIVING HURRICANE SEASON AND EUROPE’S CRAZY SUMMER
Guest weather analysis by Joe D’Aleo, CCM, AMS Fellow

“The driver for the warmth was the cold tripole in the Atlantic sea surface temperature anomalies. Off Africa, water was coldest in the entire record back to 1950.”

wattsupwiththat.com/2018/08/03/atlantic-tripole-of-ocean-temperatures-driving-hurricane-season-and-europes-crazy-summer/

https://reneweconomy.com.au/nuclear-power-takes-a-hit-as-european-heatwave-rolls-on-87477/

tijd om te eisen dat kerncentrales een 100% on site back up hebben voor het geval dat !

/sarc

Bosbranden epidemie niet veroorzaakt door “global warming” maar door andere milieu standaarden bij het exploiteren en onderhoud van bos en ander natuurgebied.

DECADES OF MISMANAGEMENT TURNED US FORESTS INTO ‘SLOW-MOTION TIME BOMBS’

Wildfire experts say poor management, not global warming, is the major reason behind worsening wildfires.
Forester Bob Zybach warned decades ago that environmental regulations and less logging would make fires worse.
The Trump administration is doing more active management of lands, but is it enough?

Less logging also meant government foresters weren’t doing as much active management of forests — thinnings, prescribed burns and other activities to reduce wildfire risk.

While bad fires still happen on state and private lands, most of the massive blazes happen on or around lands managed by the U.S. Forest Service and other federal agencies,

http://dailycaller.com/2018/08/08/mismanagement-forests-time-bombs/?utm_medium=push&utm_source=daily_caller&utm_campaign=push

Does Activism in Social Science Explain Conservatives’ Distrust of Scientists?
Abstract

Data from the General Social Survey suggest that conservatives have become less trustful of scientists since the 1970s. Gauchat argues that this is because conservatives increasingly see scientific findings as threatening to their worldview. However, the General Social Survey data concern trust in scientists, not in science. We suggest that conservatives’ diminishing trust in scientists reflects the fact that scientists in certain fields, particularly social science, have increasingly adopted a liberal-activist stance, seeking to influence public policy in a liberal direction.

link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs12108-017-9362-0

How To Do Predictive Statistics: Part V New (Free) Software Multinomial Regression
wmbriggs.com/post/25039/

“..
We’ll use another built-in dataset, the Netherlands voting data.
..
There is NEVER a need to model what happened, only what might happen.

We do not need a probability model to tell us what we saw. We need only use our eyes. If we want to know if more religious people voted for vote (i.e. party) = CDA WE JUST LOOK. There is no need to do a “hypothesis test”, which is insane. Either more religious would have voted for CDA, or they wouldn’t have. AND THAT IT IS.

The classical idea, frequentist or Bayes, p-value of Bayes factor, of ascertaining whether more religious “really” voted more frequently for CDA is nuts. About the future? Well, that’s what model is for. To quantify the probability more religious will vote CDA accepting as an assumption religion is probative. It is our decision whether we choose religion as probative or not; two people looking at the same data, and even same model, can come to different conclusions.”

Meten net verschillende “duurzame” maten! We mogen belazerd worden door de “groene” ideologie, het doel heiligt alle middelen.

Natuurclubs kapten in 4 jaar tijd bijna 8000 hectare bos uit naam van ‘natuurherstel’, betaald met (SNL en LIFE+)-subsidie. Tegelijk legde Wageningen de basis voor moderne CO2-compensatie via bomen-stichtingen als Face the Future, Carbon Neutral Group, en Trees for All. Daar kan je via voor 10-22 euro per ton CO2 je schuld afkopen door bv bomen in Bolivia te planten. Voor 10 ton heb je dan 1 hectare bos nodig, volgens de Greenseat/Carbon Neutral Company-getallen. Maar reken die getallen terug naar verloren bos in Nederland door ‘natuurherstel’, en je komt via boskap op 3,1 Megaton CO2-emissies door Land Use Change (LUC), 1-5-2% van Neerlands jaaruitstoot. Waarom krijgen natuurclubs subsidie voor boskap, terwijl boeren moeten boeten voor die zelfde LUC-emissies? Dan heet dat plots ‘geblokkeerde koolstofvastlegging’…

http://www.interessantetijden.nl/2018/08/13/boskap-in-nl-natuurherstel-bosplant-derde-wereld-co2-compensatie/

Apocalypse by 2040? Shock as MIT computer model predicts END DATE for civilisation

A COMPUTER MODEL developed in 1973 by a team of MIT researchers has predicted the “end of civilised life as we know it” by 2040, with a major change coming in 2020 – just two years away from now.

An apocalyptic computer model, processed by one of the world’s largest computers in 1973, has predicted the end of civilization by 2040.

The prediction came from a programme nicknamed World One, which was developed by a team of MIT researchers and processed by Australia’s largest computer.

It was originally devised by computer pioneer Jay Forrester, after he was tasked by the Club of Rome to develop a model of global sustainability.

However, the shocking result of the computer calculations showed that the level of pollution and population would cause a global collapse by 2040.
…

https://www.express.co.uk/news/weird/1002422/Apocalypse-2040-MIT-computer-model-civilisation-world-end-Club-of-Rome